Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, a former state representative, is projected to win the race for governor of Alaska, making him the state’s first Democratic leader in more than two decades, the Associated Press reported.
But Kreiss-Tomkins’ victory isn’t just significant as a partisan shift in the Last Frontier. His win could also help ensure fair certification of the state’s contentious U.S. Senate race.
Ballots are still being tallied, with Democratic challenger Mary Peltola leading incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan ® by 5,800 votes as of Friday afternoon. But the state’s current Republican governor, Mike Dunleavy, has refused to commit to signing off on certification of the race if Peltola wins.
That’s where Kreiss-Tomkins’ victory could come in.
the state’s current Republican governor, Mike Dunleavy, has refused to commit to signing off on certification of the race if Peltola wins
Still refusing to do the job he’s about to lose anyway
Prison. Conservatives need to be in prison. Only force can educate a conservative.
Votehub is calling AK Senate for Peltola too.
What a W
projected to win the race for governor of Alaska
Headline says:
Democrat wins Alaska governor race,
So which is it?
It’s technically projected as it’s mathematically possible for him to lose. The AP is pretty careful about calling races though; if the AP calls a race with 96% of votes counted, they’re probably right.
Kreiss-Tomkins has 50.8% of the vote. If he fell under 50%, the instant runoff process would be used. The other three candidates are Republicans, and it’s almost certain most of the second choice votes for them are other Republicans.
with 96% of votes counted
Thanks, that’s a very crucial detail that wasn’t immediately obvious. I have to admit the self contradictory wording already within a few sentences of the article, made me not want to read the rest of the article.
But cool if the Democrat wins. 👍 😀 😎He has held a large lead since early in the counting process, but it’s closer than it looks because it’s a ranked choice process and the other three candidates are Republicans.
Alaska has a lot of late-counted mail ballots due to its geography. Those tend to favor Democrats.
An AP analysis of anonymized individual ranked choice vote records posted by the state indicated that many voters for the third and fourth place GOP candidates did not rank an additional candidate, making it impossible for Wilson to close the gap.
From AP news election site https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/alaska-governor-results/
When AP or a similarly rigorous institution calls a race that’s pretty much the ballgame; it’s a projection in the sense that not all votes are counted yet but there’s essentially zero uncertainty involved once they say X is going to win.
Ok, that would be a projection with high degree of cartainty. And that the election is called by AP, but technically he hasn’t won yet.
Yes.
Unfortunately the difference you’re pointing out is sometimes used by election deniers with sour grapes, that’s why you’re getting downvoted.
election deniers
That’s a very civilized term for Republicans. 😋
Almost none of the races are officially determined yet, the newspapers look at the incoming results and project who is going to win.
If someone is winning with 95% of the vote, and the only places that are still counting are democrat leaning districts, well…
Often the opposing party concedes at that stage.
